Options trading has risen to roughly 2.5x normal volumes as investors price two-way volatility around SpaceX following its Nasdaq-100 inclusion. Analysts say the larger index demand driver is likely the S&P 500 rather than the Nasdaq-100, but S&P inclusion is expected to be delayed at least a year because of earnings screening and the 12‑month listing rule. JEFFERIES analyst Jane Gibbons warns SpaceX’s low free float will curb the price impact of any index inclusion and limit its prospective ind

2026-07-07

Options trading has risen to roughly 2.5x normal volumes as investors price two-way volatility around SpaceX following its Nasdaq-100 inclusion. Analysts say the larger index demand driver is likely the S&P 500 rather than the Nasdaq-100, but S&P inclusion is expected to be delayed at least a year because of earnings screening and the 12‑month listing rule. JEFFERIES analyst Jane Gibbons warns SpaceX’s low free float will curb the price impact of any index inclusion and limit its prospective index weight. Lock-up expiries over coming weeks and months could supply selling pressure that offsets index buying: some restrictions lift in tranches 70–135 days after the June 12 IPO, while CEO Elon Musk and other large holders remain locked for 366 days post‑IPO. Susquehanna calls this a short‑term overhang. Cboe’s Keenan says recent options activity reflects hedging of downside risk and speculative rebalancing ahead of index trades.

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2026-07-06

美国6月ISM非制造业新订单指数 55.1,前值57.3。

2026-07-07

A draft U.S. Treasury report warns AI market risks could be comparable to the dot‑com bubble, digital outlet NOTUS reports. Prepared by Treasury staff for Treasury Secretary Bessent, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and several federal financial regulators, the draft was completed weeks ago and is awaiting formal sign‑off before distribution to intended recipients and likely public release. The report says AI firms are more deeply embedded in the U.S. economy than internet‑era companies and could pose syst