ECB Governing Council member Escrivá said rising oil and commodity prices tied to the Middle East conflict are passing through to consumer prices and could trigger wage spillovers the ECB must monitor. At this month’s policy meeting he flagged energy as a key input whose cost increases are transmitting to prices—citing higher transport-service prices—and warned the bank must be alert to second‑round wage effects, which would depend on inflation persistence.

2026-06-22

ECB Governing Council member Escrivá said rising oil and commodity prices tied to the Middle East conflict are passing through to consumer prices and could trigger wage spillovers the ECB must monitor. At this month’s policy meeting he flagged energy as a key input whose cost increases are transmitting to prices—citing higher transport-service prices—and warned the bank must be alert to second‑round wage effects, which would depend on inflation persistence.

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2026-06-22

Galaxy Securities says 1H26 Middle East conflict pushed oil and inflation expectations higher, flipping market expectations from Fed cuts to a possible in‑year hike and, together with liquidity realization, caused gold to spike then come under pressure. Markets have largely priced a single Fed hike in H2 into gold. If H2 sees easing of the Middle East conflict and any Hormuz blockade, oil and inflation would likely fall and market expectations for marginal Fed easing could re-emerge, supporting

2026-06-21

Iran's deputy oil minister said Iraq plans to gradually restore crude oil output to 4.2-4.3 mln bpd, the level before the US-Iran conflict.