With signs of potential US‑Iran diplomatic progress and Saudi Arabia restarting its east–west oil pipeline, oil prices have fallen, easing upward pressure on bond yields and likely supporting a firmer European bond market open. JEFFERIES economist Mohit Kumar said: "Geopolitics remains the market focus. There is growing optimism that the US and Iran may be moving toward some form of agreement."

U.S. President Trump called Iran the world’s top state sponsor of terror and said the U.S. will never allow it to obtain nuclear weapons. He said he has repeatedly urged Iran to negotiate and, after saying he had “given Iran every opportunity to reach a deal,” claimed he then acted and “completely destroyed” Iran’s air force and navy. Trump said he faces a major decision on Iran and expects a U.S.-Iran agreement after the midterm elections, adding Iran is waiting for U.S. midterm results but he will not factor elections into Iran policy. He said the U.S. is expanding military sustainment capacity, that ammunition stockpiles far exceed expected usage, and that large ammunition factories will be opened, with 18 set to become operational. Major changes could occur quickly, he added. On energy, Trump said oil flows are at their highest levels since the conflict began and warned that if the Iran conflict ends, oil prices would fall sharply, potentially below pre-conflict levels.

Interfax reported the Russian Defence Ministry said Russian forces struck a merchant vessel in the Black Sea.