Former BOJ official Watanabe Tsutomu said on Wednesday the BOJ could accelerate rate hikes later this year and lift its policy rate above 2% to rein in inflation. He said the terminal peak will likely be higher than most expect, around 2% or slightly above. Watanabe urged a dynamic assessment of policy, saying the terminal rate depends not only on neutral-rate estimates but also on factors such as inflation overshooting before the BOJ clearly tightens. With core inflation approaching the 2% targ

2026-07-09

Former BOJ official Watanabe Tsutomu said on Wednesday the BOJ could accelerate rate hikes later this year and lift its policy rate above 2% to rein in inflation. He said the terminal peak will likely be higher than most expect, around 2% or slightly above. Watanabe urged a dynamic assessment of policy, saying the terminal rate depends not only on neutral-rate estimates but also on factors such as inflation overshooting before the BOJ clearly tightens. With core inflation approaching the 2% target, he warned the policy board may shift from a previously passive stance to a more proactive position to prevent an overshoot.

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2026-07-09

The Bank of Japan left its assessments of nine regional economies unchanged in its quarterly report.

2026-07-08

特朗普推動烏克蘭自主生產“愛國者”和“戰斧”等先進武器,意味着美國對烏援助模式正在從直接財政支持,轉向“技術授權+供應鏈輸出”的軍工外包模式。 這一變化最大的影響在於軍工企業商業邏輯的重估。過去美國軍工巨頭主要依賴政府採購訂單,而技術許可模式可以進一步擴大海外市場,通過武器系統授權、核心零部件供應和長期維護服務,提升海外收入佔比,從單一訂單模式轉向更穩定的全球軍工生態收益。 同時,這一安排也釋放出一個信號:市場此前對於俄烏衝突快速結束的預期可能正在調整。允許烏克蘭建立自主生產能力,意味着美國正在爲更長期的軍事支持和地區安全需求做準備,歐洲防務支出和軍工投資邏輯可能持續強化。 對於金融市場而言,地緣風險正在從短期事件衝擊,轉向長期產業和財政結構變化。資金可能重新評估歐洲安全資產、防務板塊以及與能源、資源相關的防禦性資產。