Fed chair Kevin Warsh declined to say whether the Fed will raise rates at its July meeting, saying he expects a vigorous internal debate when policymakers meet in four weeks and that he had no further information to disclose. He made the remarks at the ECB annual policy seminar in Sintra, his first public appearance since last month’s Fed press conference. Investors have lifted expectations for additional hikes since that press conference, but market-implied probability of a July rate move remai

2026-07-01

Fed chair Kevin Warsh declined to say whether the Fed will raise rates at its July meeting, saying he expects a vigorous internal debate when policymakers meet in four weeks and that he had no further information to disclose. He made the remarks at the ECB annual policy seminar in Sintra, his first public appearance since last month’s Fed press conference. Investors have lifted expectations for additional hikes since that press conference, but market-implied probability of a July rate move remains below 50%.

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2026-07-01

ADP reported U.S. private-sector payrolls rose 98,000 in June, following a 122,000 gain in May; Bloomberg economists had expected a 120,000 increase. The print supports a view that, after months of uneven hiring, the labor market is firming — job openings are rising and layoffs remain low. If official government payrolls confirm the trend, it could lift market expectations for additional Fed rate hikes this year to curb inflation. Education and health services accounted for roughly half of the J

2026-07-01

U.S. major indices rose Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq poised for their largest quarterly gains since 2020 and the Dow for its best quarter since 2022. Investors remain upbeat on U.S. growth and corporate earnings despite ongoing Middle East hostilities. Signs of progress in Iran ceasefire talks briefly lifted risk appetite, though renewed weekend fighting left the deal outlook uncertain. After a strong Q1 earnings season, market attention shifts to Q2 results due over the coming weeks.