U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after oil dropped more than 3% and markets repriced the U.S. rate outlook. CME FedWatch shows a 42% chance of one Fed hike this year; the probability of a second hike fell to 28% from 34% a week earlier as inflation expectations cooled. A Wall Street Journal survey forecasts the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, due at 10:00 a.m. ET (22:00 Beijing), to rise to 49 from 44.8.

2026-06-26

U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after oil dropped more than 3% and markets repriced the U.S. rate outlook. CME FedWatch shows a 42% chance of one Fed hike this year; the probability of a second hike fell to 28% from 34% a week earlier as inflation expectations cooled. A Wall Street Journal survey forecasts the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, due at 10:00 a.m. ET (22:00 Beijing), to rise to 49 from 44.8.