- 2026 WTI: $87.41 (raised); Brent: $96 (raised)
- 2027 WTI: $72.43; Brent: $76.09
- Global supply 2026: 104.3M bpd (cut); demand: 104.6M (cut)
- Global demand 2027: 106.2M bpd (slightly lower forecast)
- U.S. oil output: 13.64M bpd (Apr), 13.59M (May); 2026: 13.51M (cut), 2027:
13.95M
- U.S. gas output: ~120.3 bcfd (Apr/May); 2026: 109.6 bcfd, 2027: 112.6 bcfd
- U.S. gasoline $4.30/gal, diesel $5.80/gal in April
- Hormuz-related supply losses to reach 9.1M bpd in April
- Brent seen peaking at $115/bbl in Q2 2026
- Limited scope to raise U.S. LNG exports due to maintenance, ramp-ups,
authorizations
- Assumes Middle East conflict ends after April; Strait of Hormuz traffic
gradually resumes, though full restoration will take months
