Barclays economists said China’s stronger-than-expected March manufacturing PMI,
along with gains in new export orders and production, points to a limited impact
from the Middle East war on supply and demand. New export orders reached a near
two-year high, supporting the view that exports will remain a key growth driver.
A prolonged conflict could also accelerate the global shift to green energy,
benefiting China’s leadership in the sector. However, rising input costs and
muted pass-through to output prices suggest ongoing pressure on corporate
margins.