JP MORGAN: IN TERMS OF TIMING, THERE WILL BE AN INCLINATION TO WAIT FOR NEW FORECASTS AT THE JUNE MEETING, BUT A CONFIRMATION OF THE MARCH BASELINE AT THE TIME OF THE APRIL MEETING SHOULD SUFFICE TO TRIGGER A HIKE JP MORGAN: WE ASSUME THE SAME FOR THE SECOND HIKE: NEW FORECASTS IN JUNE, FOLLOWED BY CONFIRMATION OF THAT NEW BASELINE AND A HIKE IN JULY JP MORGAN: WE ALSO SEE A CASE FOR THE ECB TO REVERSE THE TIGHTENING ONCE THE RISK OF SECOND ROUND EFFECTS PASSES. FOR NOW, WE ARE ONLY PENCILING

JP MORGAN: IN TERMS OF TIMING, THERE WILL BE AN INCLINATION TO WAIT FOR NEW FORECASTS AT THE JUNE MEETING, BUT A CONFIRMATION OF THE MARCH BASELINE AT THE TIME OF THE APRIL MEETING SHOULD SUFFICE TO TRIGGER A HIKE JP MORGAN: WE ASSUME THE SAME FOR THE SECOND HIKE: NEW FORECASTS IN JUNE, FOLLOWED BY CONFIRMATION OF THAT NEW BASELINE AND A HIKE IN JULY JP MORGAN: WE ALSO SEE A CASE FOR THE ECB TO REVERSE THE TIGHTENING ONCE THE RISK OF SECOND ROUND EFFECTS PASSES. FOR NOW, WE ARE ONLY PENCILING IN ONE CUT FOR 2H27