【期货盯盘神器专属文章】随着地缘热度降温，天气因素重回视野，美豆若要冲击14美元关口，关键竟在南美的“超级厄尔尼诺”？

Transport & Environment, citing European Commission data, says diesel prices have risen about 40% year-to-date in Europe — a 50‑litre tank now costs roughly €30 more per fill. Gasoline is up roughly 28%. T&E estimates diesel costs across Europe have increased by about €203m a day since the outbreak of the conflict; this estimate excludes the impact of fuel tax cuts, which would need to be offset by other tax increases or additional borrowing. Diesel represents over 40% of oil consumption in European economies — about double the US share — leaving Europe more exposed to diesel price moves.

SoftBank Group has launched what could become one of the largest corporate high-yield bond deals on record, marketing a multi-part offering to fund its AI investments. The group is pitching a $10bn dollar tranche and a €1bn (~$1.1bn) euro tranche, with initial price guidance underway for the USD portion, aiming to raise more than $11bn in total. Proceeds are intended to help finance SoftBank’s near-$65bn commitment to OpenAI and to support further AI-related M&A; the issue is the latest in a series of bond-market moves by the company this year.