美国农业部：将阿根廷2025/2026年度玉米产量预期从之前的6100万吨上调至6300万吨，市场预期为6158万吨；维持巴西2025/2026年度玉米产量预期在1.38亿吨不变，市场预期为1.3824亿吨。

Morgan Stanley global head of fixed-income research Andrew Sheets said the firm is monitoring three risks that could derail the US equity summer rally. First, renewed conflict with Iran — US strategic petroleum reserve is at historic lows, reducing the US ability to blunt an oil shock if hostilities escalate. Second, Federal Reserve policy — the market’s assumption that the Fed will hold rates through year-end is a key support for equities; that view could be wrong and may be reversed quickly if inflationary concerns prompt tightening. Third, weakening AI-related capex — Q2 earnings could show more cautious spending after recent softness in the stocks of large AI investors; because growth and earnings are highly tied to AI, a capex pullback would pose downside risk to market sentiment and forecasts.

Kremlin says a phone call between Russian President Putin and U.S. President Trump has not yet taken place.