ING strategist Jan Frederik Slijkerman says tech investors are re-evaluating AI exposure despite AI remaining a positive long-term driver. He expects tech companies’ EBITDA to rise but notes persistent investor nervousness. Higher infrastructure spending will lift depreciation and reduce stock buybacks, which could slow EPS growth and compress valuation multiples. Revenue upside from AI may take time to materialize, keeping free cash flow below prior years and narrowing scope for large buybacks

ING strategist Jan Frederik Slijkerman says tech investors are re-evaluating AI exposure despite AI remaining a positive long-term driver. He expects tech companies’ EBITDA to rise but notes persistent investor nervousness. Higher infrastructure spending will lift depreciation and reduce stock buybacks, which could slow EPS growth and compress valuation multiples. Revenue upside from AI may take time to materialize, keeping free cash flow below prior years and narrowing scope for large buybacks as a form of shareholder return.