美、以、黎签署的框架协议并未真正化解黎巴嫩冲突，而只是为各方争取调整战略的时间。由于真主党拒绝解除武装，以色列也坚持“不解除武装就不撤军”，停火基础依然脆弱。值得关注的是，以色列正重新将战略重心转向叙利亚。近期，以军炮击叙利亚德拉省，并加强戈兰高地附近的军事行动。这意味着以色列正构建从黎南部延伸至叙南部的安全缓冲带，通过扩大军事存在，对伊朗及其支持的武装力量实施持续施压，并坚持“先发制人”战略。叙利亚已逐渐成为以色列牵制伊朗的新前线。未来，即便黎巴嫩局势暂时降温，地区博弈仍可能向叙利亚转移，成为下一轮冲突升级的焦点。

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu defended building settlements around occupied Jerusalem, saying the measures aim "to safeguard Jerusalem's territorial unity." The United Nations has long held that settlement construction on occupied Palestinian territory, including East Jerusalem, violates international law; such unilateral steps undermine the two-state framework, impede the peace process and lack legal force or broad international recognition. The final status of Jerusalem must be resolved through equal negotiations under international law, the statement said, and unilateral changes to its status have no legal effect.

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