China International Capital Co (CICC) says after global inventory builds and deep price falls in 2023–25, 2026 could mark a cyclical inflection for agricultural commodities. Price bottoms across categories appear set, creating an easier-to-rise-than-fall dynamic; CICC judges H2 2026 likely lacks a basis for a fresh one-way decline as costs form a floor, supply contraction becomes entrenched, weather may add episodic shocks, and demand opens up. Sector performance ranking: oilseeds and vegetable

On the 4th local time the Russian Defence Ministry said it was prepared to carry out a humanitarian operation to hand over bodies of Ukrainian soldiers killed in action and proposed Ukraine suspend shelling of Konstantinovka from 12:00 to 18:00 Moscow time on the 6th. Russia said Ukraine must decide on the handover by 12:00 Moscow time on the 5th; Ukraine had made no immediate response.

China Merchants Securities says the recent sharp market adjustment following Meta's compute sale is a tactical move to lift ROIC in a high‑CapEx phase, not evidence of broad compute overcapacity. The firm views the industry as shifting from pure CapEx expansion into a ROIC‑verification stage; the pullback was amplified by prior outsized gains in generalized compute names and leveraged flows, creating a short‑term liquidity‑driven negative feedback loop. After the liquidity shock, the bank judges the AI structural trend intact: storage chip supply‑demand gaps remain, MLCC price increases persist, and indium phosphide shortages continue, supporting scope for a tech recovery. It also recommends selectively targeting mispricings between mid‑year earnings and share prices.