Interest‑rate strategist Ira Jersey said June nonfarm payrolls were weaker than expected and prior months were revised lower, triggering a bull‑steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. He said the move is consistent with a reduced near‑term probability of Fed rate hikes. The TIPS curve should also bull‑steepen as real yields adjust to markets pricing a near‑term slowdown in growth.

2026-07-02

Interest‑rate strategist Ira Jersey said June nonfarm payrolls were weaker than expected and prior months were revised lower, triggering a bull‑steepening of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. He said the move is consistent with a reduced near‑term probability of Fed rate hikes. The TIPS curve should also bull‑steepen as real yields adjust to markets pricing a near‑term slowdown in growth.