美国至6月26日当周EIA原油产量引伸需求数据 1962.8万桶/日，前值2025.9万桶/日。

Michael Burry, the "Big Short" investor, disclosed new short bets against AI and semiconductor sectors, saying he has shorted Tesla at about $416.22 and holds short positions in NVIDIA (NVDA.O), Caterpillar, Applied Materials and a semiconductor ETF. He said the trades form part of an overall hedge against overheating valuations in AI and semiconductors, but did not disclose position sizes and said he entered the Tesla short after a rebound. Related technology stocks largely traded higher intraday.

The World Gold Council says its benchmark scenario and market consensus imply the Fed will hike at least once in 2026, most likely in October, while the Bank of England, Bank of Japan and ECB are expected to tighten and U.S. Q2 inflation should peak near 3.9%. Under those assumptions, gold is likely to trade around $4,100/oz this year with roughly ±5% volatility. Upside would come from worsening geopolitical or economic conditions or a shift in rate expectations, though a sustained breakout would likely require a sufficiently strong global slowdown. Downside risks are a stronger dollar, larger-than-expected rate hikes and a return to risk-on sentiment; prolonged trading below $4,000/oz could spur further selling, while declines exceeding 10% historically tend to attract buy-the-dip demand from long-term regional investors.