Bank of Japan minutes from last week's board meeting signalled the need to
further raise the policy rate after officials lifted it to the highest level
since 1995. One board member said, "With core CPI near 2% and financial
conditions relatively loose, the central bank should continue to raise the
policy rate to address current economic, inflation and financial conditions."
Last week's hike was the first since December; the minutes offered no explicit
timing for the next increase but strengthened market expectations of another
move before year-end. A post-meeting economists' survey showed roughly 90%
expect another hike by December, with over one-third pencilling in October.
Economists now forecast the cycle peak at about 1.75%, up from 1.5% in earlier
surveys this month.