JP Morgan Private Bank EMEA equities strategist Natalia Lipishina warns that a sustained or further drop in oil prices could undermine a key source of earnings growth, prompting downward revisions to energy estimates and potential spillovers across other sectors. She says this raises the risk that European equities will underperform US and emerging-market peers in H2. Lipishina and JP Morgan remain constructive on AI-related themes — technology, semiconductors and industrials tied to global infr

2026-06-22

JP Morgan Private Bank EMEA equities strategist Natalia Lipishina warns that a sustained or further drop in oil prices could undermine a key source of earnings growth, prompting downward revisions to energy estimates and potential spillovers across other sectors. She says this raises the risk that European equities will underperform US and emerging-market peers in H2. Lipishina and JP Morgan remain constructive on AI-related themes — technology, semiconductors and industrials tied to global infrastructure spending — and see opportunistic value in luxury and civil aviation after recent underperformance, while preferring US and emerging-market stocks for stronger earnings trajectories.

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2026-06-22

Goldman Sachs economists say Southeast Asian food prices face upside risk over the next several months. The oil-price shock from the Middle East conflict has already fed into fuel-sensitive CPI components, and rising fertilizer costs will raise agricultural input prices. An El Nifio event, possible by end-2026, could lift global temperatures and trigger further grain-supply shocks, though its impact is imprecisely estimated. Goldman Sachs estimates a 10% rise in local oil prices would lift South

2026-06-22

MOFCOM said Jan-May 2026 total retail sales of consumer goods and services rose 2.8% YoY. Retail goods sales were 20.6 tln yuan, up 1.4% YoY; non-auto goods retail rose 2.7% YoY. Retail services increased 5.4% YoY. In May, domestic retail penetration of new energy vehicles reached 62.9%, a record high. MOFCOM platform sales data for Jan-May show smart glasses sales up 2.8x YoY, handheld imaging devices up 24.2% YoY, smart blood-glucose meters up 14.7% YoY and organic food up 3.6% YoY.