Japan 10- and 20-year JGB yields surged to multi-decade highs this week as
markets question Prime Minister Takaichi’s commitment to fiscal discipline and
monetary-policy normalization, and government spending raises fiscal strain.
10y-2y JGB spread widened to 143bps on Wednesday, the most since 2004,
reflecting rising long-end inflation/price risk alongside weaker expectations
for near-term Bank of Japan rate hikes. Daiwa senior economist Kento Minami said
recent curve steepening is a warning signal, highlighting a gap between
market-priced risks and government fiscal-monetary policy.