CITIC Securities forecasts its tracked sample of listed coal firms will report
average Q2 2026 net profit growth of about 31% QoQ and roughly 19% YoY in 1H
2026. It expects coking-coal and anthracite producers to show stronger earnings
elasticity. Although coal prices have softened short term, seasonal peak demand
should push prices up; against a backdrop of supply contraction, CITIC expects
the Q3 supply-demand balance to further improve, supporting coal prices and
continued QoQ sector earnings growth. It recommends names with high earnings
elasticity and metallurgical-coal producers with relatively attractive
valuations.