Robert Kavcic, capital markets economist at BMO, says Canada has clearly moved beyond two consecutive quarters of GDP weakness as a strong net trade recovery—driven by higher oil prices—supports growth. Statistics Canada's May trade report showed exp

2026-07-07

Robert Kavcic, capital markets economist at BMO, says Canada has clearly moved beyond two consecutive quarters of GDP weakness as a strong net trade recovery—driven by higher oil prices—supports growth. Statistics Canada's May trade report showed exports rose 0.9% and were up 26% YoY, with energy sales accounting for most of the gain. Despite weak volumes in May, Kavcic expects net trade to boost Q2 GDP by up to 2.0 percentage points.