SOCGEN says the dollar’s strength is likely to persist into H2 2026, noting the
US economy is the only G10 whose average growth forecast for this year is higher
than at the start of the year. The bank warns that if US growth keeps inflation
above target, rate cuts would be politically difficult even under President
Trump. SOCGEN projects the dollar index (DXY) at 103.6 and EUR/USD at 1.11 by
year-end.