SMBC Nikko Securities economist Maruyama said BOJ Q1 output gap estimates show a sustained positive trend, supporting higher inflation and providing a rationale for further rate hikes. He added the positive gap has not widened, so there is no immedia

2026-07-06

SMBC Nikko Securities economist Maruyama said BOJ Q1 output gap estimates show a sustained positive trend, supporting higher inflation and providing a rationale for further rate hikes. He added the positive gap has not widened, so there is no immediate need to accelerate tightening; any faster or larger hikes would likely stem from a delayed but material pass-through of Middle East-related inflation or from rising inflation expectations.