The Ministry of Emergency Management said at a flood-season safety briefing on
June 23 that extreme weather breaking past patterns has increased. The rain band
has shifted westward and expanded northward; compared with the 1990s, humid and
semi‑humid zones have grown by over 300,000 sq km in the past five years. In
northern China the five‑year average number of heavy‑rain events is roughly 50%
higher than in the 1990s, and the composite intensity of those events is about
50% above the long‑term seasonal average. Northern flood control has shifted
from infrequent major tests to a regular, high‑stress challenge. Over the next
five years wetter conditions in northern China are expected to continue, with
above‑normal precipitation likely across much of Northeast China and North China
and elevated disaster risk from heavy rain and severe convective storms.