According to Polymarket forecasting data, the probability of the US and Iran reaching a ceasefire by June 30 is 62%, and the probability of reaching a ceasefire by December 31 is 73%.

2026-04-02

According to Polymarket forecasting data, the probability of the US and Iran reaching a ceasefire by June 30 is 62%, and the probability of reaching a ceasefire by December 31 is 73%.