US Dollar:
1. During Powell's speech last night, interest rate futures indicated that the market was withdrawing its bets on the Fed this year.
2. Fed Governor Milan: The Fed's balance sheet is too large, and he hopes to reduce it. The Fed could gradually cut interest rates by one percentage point over a year.
3. Fed's Williams: War could both push up inflation and suppress economic growth. He expects US GDP growth of 2.5% this year, boosted by multiple factors. Current monetary policy is appropriate and sufficient to address short-term inflation risks.
4. Fed Chairman Powell: Private lending is not currently in a position to evolve into a broader systemic event. Energy shocks are usually short-lived, and the standard central bank response is to "patiently wait for them to subside on their own." The current policy position is good.
South Korean Won:
1. LSEG data shows the won has fallen to its lowest level against the dollar since 2009.
2. South Korean Ministry of Finance official: Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund is buying South Korean government bonds.
3. South Korea's Ministry of Finance has proposed a supplementary budget of $17.3 billion to mitigate the impact of the Middle East conflict. 4. A Bank of Korea official stated they are closely monitoring the foreign exchange market. They will respond to any significant herding behavior in the market.
Other:
1. The Bank of Israel held rates steady for the second consecutive month.
2. The People's Bank of China injected a net 15 billion yuan into the market through reverse repurchase operations.
3. S&P Global: The Middle East conflict may end the trend of rating upgrades for emerging markets.
4. The Governor of the Central Bank of Mexico: Mexico's interest rate cut cycle is nearing its end.
5. The Governor of the Central Bank of Malaysia: The Middle East conflict will cause some fluctuations in the ringgit, but these are cyclical fluctuations.
6. Banking sources indicate that the Central Bank of Turkey will resume lira swap transactions with domestic banks starting Tuesday.
7. Market news: Banking sources stated that Turkey's net foreign exchange reserves fell by $22.5 billion last week, to $35 billion.
