International
1. Nomura: Inflation risks coupled with top-level changes have postponed expectations of a Fed rate cut to September.
2. Mitsubishi UFJ: If safe-haven demand rises, the US dollar may continue to appreciate.
3. Jefferies: Australian refineries can only meet part of domestic fuel demand.
4. TD Securities: Growth risks are a constraint on upward movement, and US Treasury yields may face resistance at higher levels.
5. BNP Paribas: High pressure to pass on inflation may lead Japan to raise interest rates in April.
6. Societe Generale: Brent crude oil's average price in April may reach $125 per barrel.
Domestic
1. CITIC Securities: In terms of allocation, we recommend continuing to focus on China's advantageous manufacturing sector and awaiting the April decision.
2. CITIC Securities: Supply disruptions continue to escalate; pay attention to opportunities in the aluminum sector.
3. CITIC Securities: Supernodes improve AI training and push efficiency; focus on three incremental links.
4. CITIC Securities: Closely monitor the Middle East situation and seize opportunities in China's advantageous assets.
5. CITIC Securities: Supply-side disruptions continue to escalate, while demand benefits from marginal overseas growth, driving lithium prices upward.
6. BOC Securities: Remains optimistic about the dual themes of industry-driven growth in the technology sector and price increases in cyclical sectors in the medium to long term.
7. Huatai Securities: External conflicts and holiday effects may suppress risk appetite; pay attention to the subsequent shift towards profit-driven targets.
8. Guoxin Futures: The future trend of aluminum prices will depend on the final assessment results of capacity damage released by relevant aluminum companies.
